Ignore Youth at Your Peril
Greg Chappell was Captain of the Australian Test Cricket team, an outstanding batsman and Australian Selector. His words are ringing in my ears this week.
With small question marks over the form of Zaaki and Verry Elleegant on Saturday my thoughts are with the in form three year- olds who slugged it out in the Caulfield Guineas a couple of weeks ago, Captivant and Amamore. Three year olds don’t often win the Cox Plate and there been only three in the past thirty years, Octagonal, So You Think and Shamus Award. The first two are household names so it takes a very special horse to win even with the postage stamp weight of 49.5 kgs.
Like Octagonal, Anamore and Captivant both ran well in the Golden Slipper as two year olds and both seem to have transitioned well into middle distance three year olds. Peter Snowden, Captivant’s trainer was stable foreman for the Hawkes team in the Octagonal days so he must know a thing or two about middle distance three year olds at weight for age.
Race 4 So Si Bon (1) Wicklow Town (8) Regards Maree (6) & Never Again (4)
Cox Plate Day
Race 5 What a Fox (5) Stern Impulse (4) Fortunate Kiss (3) & The Amazonian (9)
Cox Plate Anamoe (9) Captivant (10) Verry Ellegant (6) & Probabeel (7)
Race 5 Star Spangled Rodeo (7) Race 6 French Bonnet (13) Race 9 Nudge (2) & Race 10 Gravina (9)
Very Large Mammals Special (Moonee Valley)
Race 6 Rhinoceros (10) Elephant (5) & Buffalo River (Bundle Box Quinella & Trifecta)
Our theme bet this week is the United States of America
Race 1 Praire Flower (10) Race 3 New York Baby (2) Race 6 Buffalo River (4) & Race 8 Miami Bound. If all these horses get over the line for you on Saturday in a Yankee (Parlay 23 & 4 Bet) you’ll be entitled to a rather disappointing dividend of $2,124.
You may scrape in a cattle class airfare to the USA. Don’t even think about going though because you will probably get COVID and you are not allowed to anyway.
Lay of the day
Race 9 Zaaki
Form reversals do happen but not a great idea to bet on them and he was plain last start and drifting. There are better options