Bella Nipotina won the Quezette Stakes last Saturday afternoon paying 20-1. She continued a thing on Australian race- tracks which began in 1945 when a horse called Surefoot ridden by a boiler maker came third in the Great Eastern Steeple Chase at each way odds of 66-1. Colin Hayes was one of the most successful trainers of the twentieth century. He won almost all of the important races including Melbourne and Caulfield Cups, a Cox Plate a Golden slipper and a number of Training Premierships.
The remarkable thing, however, is not that the races that this stable win but the prices that their horses start. Dulcify won the Australian Cup in 1979 at 80-1. In 2017 Boom Time won the Caulfield Cup at 50-1, the third of David Hayes Caulfield Cup wins Fraar and Tawqueet both starting at odds of over 20-1. In between Eagle Falls and Scarlett Bisque won the Oakleigh Plate both at 20-1 and Alishan and Planet Ruler won the 1200 Derby Day Sprint at similar odds. At Flemington, Jeune won the Melbourne Cup at 20-1 Seascay won back to back Cantala Stakes at 50-1 and 10-1 with Harlem recently winning two Australia Cups at 50-1 and 30-1. I could go on but I think I will stop with Glastonbury’s slightly controversial, win of the 1994 Metropolitan at 26-1 after coming last in the Colin Stephen’s Quality as favourite a couple of weeks before hand.
The message is not to underestimate this stable under any circumstances this Spring no matter what the odds. It doesn’t cost much to save on the long price Hayes runner. They are also particularly good at the early two year old races and I’d be surprised if one of their runners does n’t win the Maribyrnong Plate this year.
Did I take my own advice last Saturday. Well yes. I backed Cape of Good Hope and we all know what happened there!
You have been warned.
Moonee Valley
Race 2 Tailleur (3) Parmie (6) Melodeon (5) Sword of Mercy (8) South Bank (3)
Race 3 Cloud Breaker (2) Montia (5) Jenni’s Rainbow (11) Riverina Storm (8) & Clean Machine (7)
Race 7 Banquo (6) Windstorm (7) Fight (15) Delaxation (3) & Epic Grey (4)
Race 8 Jungle Edge (1) Brooklyn Hustle (10) Humma Humma (8) Great Again (2) & Ashlor (3)
Theme Bet
Our theme bet this week is a tentative encounter which could possibly end in tears Race 1 Coming Around (4) Race 3 Yes baby Yes (9) Race 4 High Emocean (5) and Race 5 Kiss and Cry (5) Race 6 Hard Landing (1). $9,728 awaits you if you can get these horses over the line in a Super Yankee or Parlay Formula 234 Bet for an outlay of just $13.30.
Sydney
Race 4 Dane Giselle (1) Race 5 Funstar (3) Race 7 The Bostonian (2) Race 8 Kinane (11) Race 9 Ice Bath (9)
Toby’s Titanic
(Lay of the Day) Race 2 Moonee Valley Jenni’s Rainbow (11)
